Click on the Playoffs subtab of the League tab during your final regular season week for a detailed breakdown of possible playoff scenarios.
You'll see your odds of making the playoffs, winning the division, and earning a 1st round bye.
You'll also see what needs to happen for those outcomes by mousing-over the % value.
How is this calculated?
By simulating every conceivable win-loss outcome for your league's final regular season week.
Please note that this analysis doesn't account for changes in total points tiebreakers (so if you hold a slim lead in Total Points Scored and your league relies on that tiebreaker, this analysis assumes you'll continue to hold that lead after next week).
So it might say that you've been eliminated when you still have a shot at overtaking another team in total points scored.
How is this different from the clinching symbols on the standings page?
The clinch symbols on the standings page use a very simple analysis relying on current win-loss and number of games remaining. They do not factor future schedules into account. The playoffs page will have more accurate results.
I don't believe my league's tiebreakers are working correctly. Our tiebreakers are 1) Head-to-head and 2) Total points. I am tied with 2 other teams at 6-7. I am 2-0 against the guy with more points and 1-1 against the guy with less points, so I should be ahead of both of them. Yet, the guy with more points is shown ahead of me (in the playoffs if they started today) even though I swept him. Can this be corrected?
Head-to-head tiebreakers are only applied when exactly two have the same record. When it is more than 2 it is skipped. We will be updating the wording to make this less confusing.
I'm in 2 leagues and I only see the playoff scenario in one of them, the other league still doesn't have the column for playoffs. (Playoffs??!?! I just hope we can win a game. Playoffs?)
QQ regarding the denotations of the mean League page. In the link above, the East Division, why does "Pats Rule" not have a Clinched Division already? There's no way either teams in the division can come back, additionally their odds are 0 on the playoff page.
Sometimes the scenario's are blank and sometimes it has teams listed but doesn't say whether they need to win or lose. Great idea but I don't think it is working 100% correctly...
It is nice to have an explanation now for those who didn't want to take the time to look at all the tiebreaker rules and such.
Unfortunately, it doesn't work 100% of the time. I am in a league where there is a 4 way tie for the last spot and it simply says [None] in the tiebreaker explanation. It does have the odds of getting that last spot (plus a possibility that the 5th place guy could drop out of the playoffs as well), but no explanation as to why the rankings are the way they are. Maybe this is an issue where there are just too many possibilities to list in the space provided.
I LOVE this idea. I really do. However, it seems like some of the scenarios include inaccurate information or are extraneous. I'm sure you'll get it all worked out as we go.
fleafounder AdminTue 12/1/09 6:35 PM
Click on the Playoffs subtab of the League tab during your final regular season week for a detailed breakdown of possible playoff scenarios.
You'll see your odds of making the playoffs, winning the division, and earning a 1st round bye.
You'll also see what needs to happen for those outcomes by mousing-over the % value.
How is this calculated?
By simulating every conceivable win-loss outcome for your league's final regular season week.
Please note that this analysis doesn't account for changes in total points tiebreakers (so if you hold a slim lead in Total Points Scored and your league relies on that tiebreaker, this analysis assumes you'll continue to hold that lead after next week).
So it might say that you've been eliminated when you still have a shot at overtaking another team in total points scored.
How is this different from the clinching symbols on the standings page?
The clinch symbols on the standings page use a very simple analysis relying on current win-loss and number of games remaining. They do not factor future schedules into account. The playoffs page will have more accurate results.
[Deleted User]Sun 11/25/12 2:05 PM
Nice
GilmeisterTue 12/8/09 9:36 AM
I don't believe my league's tiebreakers are working correctly. Our tiebreakers are 1) Head-to-head and 2) Total points. I am tied with 2 other teams at 6-7. I am 2-0 against the guy with more points and 1-1 against the guy with less points, so I should be ahead of both of them. Yet, the guy with more points is shown ahead of me (in the playoffs if they started today) even though I swept him. Can this be corrected?
FFCSR_DougWed 12/9/09 8:33 AM
Head-to-head tiebreakers are only applied when exactly two have the same record. When it is more than 2 it is skipped. We will be updating the wording to make this less confusing.
n0nauMon 12/7/09 5:53 PM
I'm in 2 leagues and I only see the playoff scenario in one of them, the other league still doesn't have the column for playoffs. (Playoffs??!?! I just hope we can win a game. Playoffs?)
n0nauTue 12/8/09 2:32 PM
I see the playoffs now.
fleaflicker.com
QQ regarding the denotations of the mean League page. In the link above, the East Division, why does "Pats Rule" not have a Clinched Division already? There's no way either teams in the division can come back, additionally their odds are 0 on the playoff page.
[Deleted User]Sun 12/6/09 9:17 PM
fleaflicker.com
Mouse over the bye chances for some teams. Doesn't work.
fleafounder AdminMon 12/7/09 3:23 PM
There are no mouse-overs for 100% and 0%--no explanation is needed. 100% means you clinched, 0% means you're definitely out.
[Deleted User]Mon 12/7/09 10:40 PM
No, for 12 percent.
[Deleted User]Sun 12/6/09 1:41 AM
Sometimes the scenario's are blank and sometimes it has teams listed but doesn't say whether they need to win or lose. Great idea but I don't think it is working 100% correctly...
fleafounder AdminSun 12/6/09 9:13 PM
Can you post links to leagues where it isn't working?
It always lists the results you need in the form of "needs abc, xyz WINS and ... OR ...) so it never says you need a loss.
[Deleted User]Mon 12/7/09 3:49 PM
Let's try this one for an example... fleaflicker.com. Hover over team 7's 25.
[Deleted User]Mon 12/7/09 3:51 PM
Or this one... fleaflicker.com. Click on teams 5 and 6's 62's...
[Deleted User]Mon 12/7/09 3:53 PM
And try this one... fleaflicker.com. Click on team 11's 3. This one doesn't complete the scenerio...
[Deleted User]Tue 12/8/09 8:08 PM
And in this league, it says I clinched a 1st round bye but my team isn't flagged with the 1st round bye z symbol? fleaflicker.com
VoltSat 12/5/09 8:31 AM
It is nice to have an explanation now for those who didn't want to take the time to look at all the tiebreaker rules and such.
Unfortunately, it doesn't work 100% of the time. I am in a league where there is a 4 way tie for the last spot and it simply says [None] in the tiebreaker explanation. It does have the odds of getting that last spot (plus a possibility that the 5th place guy could drop out of the playoffs as well), but no explanation as to why the rankings are the way they are. Maybe this is an issue where there are just too many possibilities to list in the space provided.
[Deleted User]Sat 12/5/09 1:38 PM
Yeah, I saw this, too. There is a scramble for for the last playoff spots in my league, and it would nice to see the scenarios.
fleafounder AdminSun 12/6/09 9:14 PM
Can you post links please?
As it says on the mouse-over, this analysis doesn't account for PF/PA tiebreakers.
VinceB128Fri 12/4/09 5:38 PM
I LOVE this idea. I really do. However, it seems like some of the scenarios include inaccurate information or are extraneous. I'm sure you'll get it all worked out as we go.
Love this update.
[Deleted User]Fri 12/4/09 4:52 PM
But sometimes when I mouse over some odds for the playoffs, it is blank.